Rain, hail and high temperatures in the forecast across Mexico

More rain is on its way through Mexico this week.

According to the National Meteorological Service (SMN), the seasonal Mexican monsoon in combination with tropical wave 14, a low-pressure trough in northern Mexico and cyclonic activity on the Pacific Coast and in the Atlantic basin, will increase rainfall in many parts of the country.

July has been rainier than usual. From July 1 through  July 25, Mexico registered 130 mm of total rainfall across the country, 26.6 mm more rainfall than the average for July. 

Find the rain forecast for Monday below:

Rain forecasts by state 

Intense rainfall (75 to 150 mm) is expected in Chiapas, Guerrero, Oaxaca, Puebla, Tabasco and Veracruz.

Very heavy rainfall (50 to 75 mm) is forecast in Chihuahua, Colima, México state, Jalisco, Michoacán, Morelos, Nayarit and Sonora. 

Heavy rainfall (25 to 50 mm) may hit Mexico City, Durango, Guanajuato, Hidalgo, Querétaro, San Luis Potosí, Sinaloa and Tlaxcala.

Showers (5 to 25 mm) are expected in Aguascalientes, Campeche, Coahuila, Nuevo León, Quintana Roo, Tamaulipas, Yucatán and Zacatecas. 

Isolated rains (0.1 to 5 mm) are forecast in Baja California and Baja California Sur.  

Strong winds and potential whirlwinds are also expected across most of Mexico. 

The SMN has warned residents in these states that winds could cause trees and billboards to fall.

Rainfall will continue throughout the week, with more rain expected over the weekend due to a new tropical wave.

The seasonal Mexican monsoon will combine with tropical wave 14, a low-pressure trough and cyclonic activity on the coasts.
This week, the seasonal Mexican monsoon will combine with tropical wave 14, a low-pressure trough and cyclonic activity on the coasts. (Conagua)

Hot weather to continue

Here are the maximum temperatures forecast for Monday: 

40 to 45 degrees Celsius: Baja California and Sonora. 

35 to 40 degrees Celsius: Baja California Sur, Campeche, Chihuahua, Coahuila, Durango, Nuevo Leon, Quintana Roo, Sinaloa, Tabasco, Tamaulipas and Yucatán.

30 to 35 degrees Celsius: Chiapas, Colima, Guerrero, Jalisco, Michoacan, Morelos, Nayarit, Oaxaca, San Luis Potosi and Veracruz.

In contrast, the highlands of Durango, México state, Hidalgo, Puebla and Tlaxcala will see minimum temperatures of 0 to 5 degrees Celsius. 

Is it rainier than usual in Mexico this year?

Overall, Mexico is having a very rainy summer. Between Jan. 1 and July 25, Mexico recorded rainfall of 338.3 mm — that is, 18.7 mm more than usual.  

Since the rainy season officially began on June 19, Mexico has seen Hurricane Alberto in northern Mexico, Hurricane Chris in the south and Hurricane Beryl in the Yucatán Peninsula.

These storms in combination with tropical waves and low-pressure systems have reduced drought conditions across the country. As of July 15, the area of the country affected by drought was down to 51.2% from 73.9% — since before the rainy season began.  

As per the weather agency Meteored, the states that have benefited the most from the rainfall include Nuevo Leon, Tamaulipas, San Luis Potosi, Zacatecas, Aguascalientes, Veracruz, Hidalgo, Campeche, Yucatán and Quintana Roo. 

Meanwhile, Baja California, Sonora, Chihuahua, Coahuila, Sinaloa, Durango, Nayarit, Jalisco, Michoacán, Guerrero, Oaxaca, southern Veracruz, Tabasco and northern Chiapas have seen less rain this year.

The rest of the country has seen moderate rainfall. 

With reports from Meteored

Have something to say? Paid Subscribers get all access to make & read comments.
workers

Labor Ministry hails steady job growth, but economists urge against too rosy an interpretation

0
Labor Minister Marath Bolaños reported on Tuesday that 60.2 million people were employed in Mexico and 422,000 more jobs had been created during the first quarter this year than during Q1 2025.
Nassón Joaquín García, shown here welcoming guests from 54 countries to a convicatiuon of his

Judge reopens criminal case against former leader of Mexico’s Luz del Mundo Church

0
The former leader of the Guadalajara-based church, the spiritual home of some 3 million Mexicans, is serving time in California for sexually abusing children. He'll now face similar charges in Mexico.
"El Jardinero" surrounded by Mexican naval special forces

Mexican Navy captures top CJNG commander ‘El Jardinero’ in Nayarit

0
In a statement, the navy boasted its precision in locating and arresting the target — who was surrounded by at least 30 pickup trucks and 60 armed personnel — without firing a single shot.
BETA Version - Powered by Perplexity