Saturday, January 24, 2026

Survey indicates Covid case numbers are actually higher than 30 million

More than 30 million Mexicans – about a quarter of the population – have been infected with the coronavirus, a serological testing survey suggests.

The National Institute of Public Health (INSP) collected 7,098 blood samples from adults, teenagers and children between August and November and found that 24.8%  had developed antibodies against the coronavirus.

If the percentage is extrapolated across the entire population of Mexico, approximately 31 million people have been infected with the virus, said INSP director Juan Rivera.

That’s about 24 times higher than the current official confirmed case tally, which stands at just under 1.3 million.

“It shows a high speed of spread,” Rivera said.

Just over 26% of males and 23.6% of females who provided blood samples had developed coronavirus antibodies. A quarter of people aged 20 to 59 had antibodies while among those aged 60 and over only 18% appeared to have had the virus.

“It gives the impression that people over 60 took more care, stayed at home more and followed all the [health] measures,” Rivera said.

Referring to the likelihood that one-quarter of Mexicans have already had the virus, the INSP chief said that means that “75% of Mexicans [still] don’t have immunity against Covid” and therefore the population is still a long way from achieving herd immunity.

“It’s a very high percentage, almost 100 million people. … We mustn’t be careless, we mustn’t drop our guard. … The vast majority of us are [still] vulnerable to infection,” he said, acknowledging also that there is a possibility of reinfection.

It is likely that a lot of people who have had the coronavirus weren’t aware that they were infected.

The INSP classified 70% of people who developed antibodies against the coronavirus as asymptomatic. Only 20% of people with coronavirus antibodies experienced the telltale symptoms of Covid-19 while the other 10% only had one mild symptom.

“Almost 80% without symptoms. What does this mean? Maybe a lot of us are asymptomatic and therefore we could be transmitting the disease without realizing it,” Rivera said. “That’s why it’s important to take all the precautions.”

The coronavirus pandemic has hit Mexico harder than most other countries. As of Wednesday, its accumulated case tally of 1.27 million was the 13th highest in the world while the official Covid-19 death toll of 115,769 was the fourth highest after the United States, Brazil and India.

Source: El Economista (sp), El Financiero (sp) 

Have something to say? Paid Subscribers get all access to make & read comments.
Ryan Wedding in custody

Former Olympic snowboarder, wanted in US for trafficking, arrested in Mexico

1
Canadian Ryan Wedding lived a “colorful and flashy” lifestyle in Mexico for 10 years, while allegedly running a major cocaine trafficking business and sitting on the FBI's Ten Most Wanted list.
Mexican President Sheinbaum and Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney

Opinion: Mexico could lose out as Canada risks USMCA with bet on ‘new world order’

4
As Canada pushes back against the U.S., Mexico has the most to lose, writes Logan Gardner.
cold weather in the north

Winter weather alert: Cold, high winds and heavy rain coming to northern Mexico this weekend

0
The warnings for northern Mexico are connected to the potentially historic winter storm expected to hit the U.S. this weekend from the Texas Panhandle to the Northeastern Atlantic states.
BETA Version - Powered by Perplexity