Sunday, March 1, 2026

Hurricane Olaf forecast to make landfall as Category 2

Hurricane Olaf is forecast to make landfall Thursday night in Baja California Sur between Los Cabos and La Paz, the National Water Commission (Conagua) said at 4:15 p.m CDT.

The forecast also said the storm would probably strengthen to Category 2 by the time it reaches land, sometime between 8:00 p.m. and 1:00 a.m. A forecast by Meteorología México put the time between 7 and 9:00 p.m.

Olaf was located 130 kilometers southeast of Cabo San Lucas at 4:00 p.m. CDT. Maximum sustained winds were 150 kmh with gusts to 185 and it was moving north-northwest at 17 kmh.

Conagua predicts torrential rains in Baja California Sur and very heavy rainfall in Sinaloa and Nayarit. Waves up to five meters high are predicted off the southern Baja Peninsula.

The hurricane warning issued earlier has been extended from Los Barriles to Cabo San Lázaro. Tropical storm warnings are in effect for north of Cabo San Lázaro to Puerto San Andresito and from San Evaristo to Loreto.

The hurricane's forecast track
The hurricane’s forecast track as of 4:00 p.m. CDT. Hurricane warning areas in red; tropical storm warning areas are in blue. us national hurricane center

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