Wednesday, March 4, 2026

Heavy rains forecast for most of Mexico on Friday

Intense rain is predicted across much of Mexico on Friday, with possible landslides, floods and cyclonic conditions in the southwest.

The National Meteorological Service (SNM) said that the wet conditions are due to a combination of Tropical Waves 18 and 19 and a low-pressure channel in the southwest.

Conagua map
A map of the low-pressure areas currently affecting Mexico. (Conagua)

The interaction of these systems will bring a 70% chance of cyclonic development in the next 48 hours, in an area 390 km south of Lázaro Cárdenas, Michoacán. Coastal areas of Colima, Guerrero and Michoacán are warned of gusts of wind up to 80 km/h and waves of up to 4 meters.

Meanwhile, rain is forecast for 24 Mexican states — 70% of the national territory. “Intense” rain of 75–100 millimeters is predicted in Chiapas, Colima, Guerrero, Jalisco, Michoacán, Nayarit, Oaxaca, Tabasco and Veracruz.

There will also be very heavy rain in México State, Guanajuato, Morelos, Puebla, Sinaloa and Zacatecas; heavy rain in Aguascalientes, Campeche, Ciudad de México, Durango, Hidalgo, Querétaro, Quintana Roo, Tlaxcala and Yucatán. Colima, Guerrero, Michoacan could also see wind gusts of up to 80 km/h and the coasts of these states could see waves of up to 4 meters.

“The predicted rains will be accompanied by lightning, strong gusts of wind and hail conditions,” the SMN warned. “Heavy to intense rain could cause a rise in the level of rivers and streams, overflows, landslides and floods.”

Despite the rain, high temperatures are still predicted in the northwest, north and northeast , reaching maximums of over 45 degrees Celsius (113 F) in Baja California and Sonora, and between 40 C (104 F) and 45 C in Baja California Sur, Chihuahua, Coahuila, Nuevo León, Sinaloa and Tamaulipas.

Mexico City, on the other hand, will be cloudy and temperate, with temperatures falling to as low as zero degrees in the surrounding mountain regions of México State, Hidalgo, Puebla and Tlaxcala.

With reports from El Financiero

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