Surprise economic contraction: 0.2% decline in first-quarter growth

The first quarter got off to the worst start economically in the last 10 years.

The economy contracted 0.2% compared with the previous quarter, when gross domestic product grew 0.2%.

The preliminary figures were released today by the national statistics agency, which said annual growth in the period was up 1.3% compared to a year earlier.

The results will come as a surprise to analysts at at least four financial institutions who predicted yesterday that GDP growth would be as little as 1.1% and as high as 1.6%.

The first-quarter decline was caused largely by a deceleration in services and manufacturing.

The January fuel shortage and strikes in Tamaulipas might have been a factor as well.

The quarter compares poorly with the first three months in the terms of the last three presidents. In the government of Enrique Peña Nieto the economy saw annual growth of 2.7%, for Felipe Calderón it was 2.2% and for Vicente Fox, 1.8%.

The Finance Secretariat is forecasting annual growth between 1.1% and 2.1% this year, although President López Obrador is more optimistic and predicts 2%.

Source: Milenio (sp), Bloomberg (en), El Financiero (sp), El Economista (sp)

Have something to say? Paid Subscribers get all access to make & read comments.

The AI fake news tsunami is upon us — what does this mean for kids? A perspective from our CEO

0
As realistic, AI-generated fake news flooding our feeds, MND CEO Travis Bembenek explains why teaching kids about media literacy has never been more urgent.
News quiz

The MND News Quiz of the Week: March 21st

0
How well have you been paying attention to the news in Mexico this week? Take the MND Quiz of the Week and find out!
Abortion activists

Activists’ victory means IMSS now offers public hospital abortion services in 25 states

0
The major breakthrough is a direct result of court decisions in favor of activists who filed suit to require the social security body to include abortion services in the states where abortion is legal.
BETA Version - Powered by Perplexity