Friday, July 26, 2024

Surprise economic contraction: 0.2% decline in first-quarter growth

The first quarter got off to the worst start economically in the last 10 years.

The economy contracted 0.2% compared with the previous quarter, when gross domestic product grew 0.2%.

The preliminary figures were released today by the national statistics agency, which said annual growth in the period was up 1.3% compared to a year earlier.

The results will come as a surprise to analysts at at least four financial institutions who predicted yesterday that GDP growth would be as little as 1.1% and as high as 1.6%.

The first-quarter decline was caused largely by a deceleration in services and manufacturing.

The January fuel shortage and strikes in Tamaulipas might have been a factor as well.

The quarter compares poorly with the first three months in the terms of the last three presidents. In the government of Enrique Peña Nieto the economy saw annual growth of 2.7%, for Felipe Calderón it was 2.2% and for Vicente Fox, 1.8%.

The Finance Secretariat is forecasting annual growth between 1.1% and 2.1% this year, although President López Obrador is more optimistic and predicts 2%.

Source: Milenio (sp), Bloomberg (en), El Financiero (sp), El Economista (sp)

Have something to say? Paid Subscribers get all access to make & read comments.
The front pages of newspapers showing El Mayo Zambada's face with headlines in Spanish.

El Mayo Zambada: Who is the elusive Sinaloan drug trafficker recently arrested in Texas?

0
While his colleague El Chapo drew global attention with prison escapes and a flashy lifestyle, El Mayo avoided the spotlight — and arrest — for decades.
Héctor Melesio Cuén Ojeda, 68, was an accomplished businessman and influential politician in Sinaloa.

Héctor Melesio Cuén Ojeda, former mayor of Culiacán, is murdered

0
The federal deputy-elect and former mayor of Culiacán, Sinaloa, was attacked hours after leaders of the Sinaloa Cartel were detained in Texas.
A massive sinkhole opened up along Guadalajara's main boulevard on Thursday morning

Huge sinkhole causes chaos in Guadalajara

0
A 10-meter-wide sinkhole had traffic stopped throughout Guadalajara on Thursday, and authorities expect repairs to take at least 10 days.