Monday, February 10, 2025

Mexico’s estimated economic growth in June up 4% over last year

Final data is expected to show that Mexico’s economy grew 4% in annual terms in June, the national statistics agency INEGI reported Thursday.

If confirmed, that level of year-over-year growth would be the best result since October last year, when GDP expanded 4.8%.

Employees at a Ford Motor Company factory in Chihuahua
Employees at a Ford Motor Company factory in Chihuahua. The manufacturing sector expanded in June by 2.8%. (Government of Mexico)

INEGI said that 4.3% annual growth in the tertiary or services sector was expected in June, while a 2.8% expansion was anticipated in the secondary or manufacturing sector. The statistics agency didn’t provide a forecast for the primary sector.

President López Obrador said Thursday that the 4% growth figure anticipated by INEGI was “good news.”

“The economy of our country is growing, which is very important. There is no economic economic stagnation,” he told reporters at his morning press conference.

INEGI also reported that month-over-month growth in June was expected to be 0.2%. The annual growth anticipated for June is higher than the 3.6% year-over-year expansion forecast for May, but lower than the 0.4% month-over-month growth predicted for that month. INEGI will publish final data for May later this month.

AMLO press conference
The president highlighted economic growth indicators at the Friday morning press conference. (Gob MX)

The Mexican economy grew 3.3% annually in April after a 3.7% expansion in the first quarter of 2023.

The economy grew 3.1% in 2022, while López Obrador has asserted that GDP will expand by 4% this year. The World Bank last month updated its 2023 growth forecast for the Mexican economy to 2.5%, a significant improvement from the 0.9% prediction it made in January.

Meanwhile, the Mexican peso has depreciated this week after reaching its strongest position in almost eight years last Friday. Despite that, the USD-MXN exchange rate remains below 17.

The exchange rate at 11 a.m. Mexico City time Friday was 16.96 pesos to the greenback, according to Bloomberg.

With reports from El Financiero 

A Mexico City sign showing the value of the Mexican peso, which lost value against the US dollar after a US employment report

Mexican peso drops after weak U.S. jobs report

0
The peso also faces pressure from Mexico's recently lowered interest rates and the uncertainty generated by Trump tariff threats.
U.S. troops and a tank at a San Diego Border Patrol station in late January.

US to pursue ‘total elimination of cartels;’ Sheinbaum says they should start at home

49
"Border czar" Tom Homan said Trump won't hesitate to use the U.S. military against Mexican cartels, if deemed necessary.
Mazatlán, Sinaloa beachside cliffs

As Carnival approaches, Mazatlán seeks to reactivate its tourism sector

2
Sinaloa's security crisis is strangling the beach town's tourist economy. Can Carnival 2025 change that?