It’s no accident a brand called No Bad Days was founded in Los Cabos, or that even today many local cars and trucks sport the brand’s palm tree framed decal on their back bumpers. That’s because Los Cabos doesn’t experience pronounced seasonal weather fluctuations and almost every day qualifies as a beach day. It’s sunny about 350 days a year, with average daytime temperatures ranging along a narrow spectrum from the high 70s to the low 90s Fahrenheit for the entire year.
So there’s no bad time to visit regional destinations like Cabo San Lucas or San José del Cabo. But some times are definitely better than others, not least in terms of cost.
Hotel and resort rates vary according to high and low tourist season
Although Los Cabos has become a year-round destination, the high and low season distinctions observed for decades still matter, especially for hotel and resort rates. One has only to look at the average daily room rates from October through May — the traditional high season — to see that a significant markup still exists compared to low season months. This is particularly true during winter when U.S. and Canadian snowbirds flock from frigid temperatures to bask on sunny Los Cabos beaches.
The low season average daily room rate in September last year was US $389, with a room occupancy of only 54%. By October, the start of high season, those numbers had risen to US $456 and 70%, respectively. In December, when winter temperatures throughout much of North America make Los Cabos — where daily temperatures range from 20 to 25 Celsius, or high 70s to low 80s Fahrenheit — seem even more attractive than usual, the average room rate increased to US $517, with occupancy boosted slightly to 71%. Fast forward to this March — the height of Spring Break — and room rates were $553 on average with a robust 83% occupancy.
Thus, choosing when to vacation in Los Cabos is a consequential decision. Not just in terms of how expensive hotel rooms or rentals are but also in how much competition there’ll be to book them.
Seasonal attractions, special events and weather may make some months more attractive than others
Looking at these numbers, it’s easy to see that room rates in Los Cabos are driven by demand. But it bears mentioning that this demand isn’t just tied to a desire to escape from cold weather elsewhere. Yes, that’s part of it. But Los Cabos’ busiest periods are also driven by noteworthy seasonal activities and attractions. It’s probably not a coincidence that the start of high season in Cabo San Lucas happens during the month the city hosts its most lucrative fishing tournaments. Or that whale watching season stretches from mid-December through mid-April when hotel rates and occupancy are at peak levels.
Similarly, it’s certainly not a coincidence that low season dovetails with the hottest temperatures in Los Cabos and the height of hurricane season. That doesn’t mean it still may not be a good time to visit, but it highlights that the best times to vacation will vary according to what you value most. With that in mind, here’s a snapshot glance at the pros and cons of each calendar season.
The best reasons to visit during the summer
Summer has much to recommend, from lower room rates to excellent conditions for popular activities like fishing, surfing, diving, and golf. It’s peak season for black and blue marlin, the most sought-after species among visiting anglers. Surfing is at its peak season in the Gulf of California, facing beaches in the East Cape, San José del Cabo, and along the coastal Tourist Corridor. Diving peaks towards the end of the summer, with water temperatures and visibility at their best in August and September. And golf courses often feature better rates — albeit still expensive ones — this time of year.
The downside is that golf courses sometimes schedule maintenance, including aerating greens, during the summer. From July on, it’s also quite hot. Temperatures may not sound particularly sweltering comparatively speaking. But most of Los Cabos is below the Tropic of Cancer, meaning the sun is more directly overhead. September, meanwhile, is by far the rainiest month in Los Cabos, and the one in which hurricanes are most likely to pass through. Additionally, some local restaurants and shops close during this time to effect repairs and allow locals to take a well-earned vacation. So that restaurant you’ve been eager to try may not actually be open.
The best reasons to visit during autumn
Hotel room rates are higher in autumn than in summer, but the weather is better and there’s even more to do. All the activities mentioned for summer are also great during the fall. Plus, there are plenty of signature local events on top. Bisbee’s two biggest fishing tournaments happen in October, as does Sammy Hagar’s annual birthday bashes at Cabo Wabo Cantina. Art Walk in San José del Cabo, a major weekly cultural showcase, kicks off in November, just after Halloween and Dia de los Muertos festivities. Two popular seasonal activities are also available: the July-through-November release of sea turtle hatchlings to help make their perilous journey to the sea a little less so; and swimming with whale sharks in La Paz, where peak conditions range from October to February.
The best reasons to visit during winter
Winter is when seemingly everyone wants to come to Los Cabos and for good reason. The weather is glorious, whale watching season officially kicks off on Dec. 15 and extends throughout mid-April, and there are plenty of parties — New Year’s Eve bashes, most notably — and other special events. In Todos Santos, for example, winter brings festivals celebrating music and art, while Art Walk continues in San José del Cabo. Sabor a Cabo, Los Cabos’ biggest food festival, is usually scheduled in December. This is likewise peak season for surfing on the Pacific Coast and wind sports on the East Cape, with world-class windsurfing, kitesurfing and kiteboarding conditions in places like Los Barriles and La Ventana.
The best reasons to visit during spring
This is a busy time of year, from Spring Break to Semana Santa. The latter, for those who aren’t Catholic, is Holy Week, which ends on Easter Sunday and is a major holiday week in Mexico. The good news is that the weather is fantastic, the conditions are great for all outdoor activities, and although some beaches can be crowded, Los Cabos has no shortage of them. So like the decals say, there are No Bad Days.
Chris Sands is the Cabo San Lucas local expert for the USA Today travel website 10 Best, writer of Fodor’s Los Cabos travel guidebook, and a contributor to numerous websites and publications, including Tasting Table, Marriott Bonvoy Traveler, Forbes Travel Guide, Porthole Cruise, Cabo Living and Mexico News Daily. His specialty is travel-related content and lifestyle features focused on food, wine and golf.
Lived there for 5 years, and I can testify that NO ONE wants to be in Cabo from July through October because of the heat. Not locals, and def not gringo-expats.
The reality is that Cabo has a 5 MONTH-LONG summer, and frankly, it sucks. It’s actually worse than you can imagine; when it’s mid-October and its still so hot and humid that you don’t want to go outside, you start to wonder why you ever chose to live in a place where you’re stuck inside 5 months of the year b/c of the need to be near A/C.
Also worthy of note: they overbuilt in the last few years, and the traffic has gotten psychopathic — especially in San Jose, which backs up for a 1 hour+ every afternoon bc all traffic in the entire town of 200,000 people now has to pass through one circle. The infrastructure is broken. Lots of us expats moved away because we were dealing with LA traffic in what was supposed to be a quaint beach town.
Cabo has jumped the shark.
Well that’s actually much worse than when I visited many years ago and it sounds like el caribe in the summer.
Edward Hooton
In my 35 years living in Cabo I have learned that some summers are hotter than others. Clearly these past few years fee like climate change has reached the southern Baja however it is interesting that this year September has had many days that are fresh in the mornings and evenings after the sun goes over the horizon.
If you know the area then you also know that you can take a 45 minute drive to Cerritos Beach where the temperature is 10 to 15 degrees cooler and enjoy the beautiful swimmable beaches and the nice onshore ocean breezes.
We play pickleball twice a day; at 7 am and again at 6pm and the temperature is not bad. We hydrate with cold water and gatorade and it is quite tolerable. During the peak heat of the day we are indoors or under shaded structures protected from the sun with some nice ventilation.
Not everyone acclimates to the desert climate or acclimates to the culture here… but those of us who do believe that this is a little bit of heaven here.
The government will commence to build an overpass at the Fonatur roundabout late next year which should alleviate the traffic that’s become problematic.
Growth has been explosive here however as I stated above, you can go north on either the East Cape sea of Cortez or the Pacific Ocean roads and be out of town in 20 minutes….
Most of us come here for the beaches, the fishing and now the world class golf and the great food options here.
I have learned that getting out of here and going north to cooler temperatures for a few weeks every summer also helps me to continue to appreciate the southern Baja.
Last… we have 9 months of great weather; the winter months here are mid-November thru May which has beautiful days and fresh nights.
For those that do not acclimate to Cabo…. well thank you for leaving the Baja for the rest of us to enjoy.