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Mexico’s trade surplus with the United States is up more than 20% this year

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Ebrard standing in front of a presentation featuring an image of shipping containers
Economy Minister Marcelo Ebrard has been in and out of Washington, D.C., over the past month as both sides aim to resolve trade disagreements. The United States' record-high deficit with Mexico is one of the more difficult data points to come to terms on. (Galo Cañas/Cuartoscuro)

Mexico’s trade surplus with the United States increased more than 20% year over year in the first eight months of 2026, climbing to almost US $156 billion as Mexican exports to the U.S. reached a record high.

The U.S. Census Bureau and the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis reported Tuesday that Mexico’s exports to the United States totaled $419.34 billion between January and August, while its imports from the U.S. were worth $263.47 billion.

Mexico thus recorded a trade surplus of $155.87 billion, an increase of 21.2% compared to its surplus with the U.S. in the first eight months of 2025. In August, Mexico recorded a trade surplus of almost $27 billion with its northern neighbor.

Of all countries around the world, Mexico recorded the second-highest surplus with the U.S. between January and August, behind Vietnam.

According to the Bank of Canada, “[a] trade deficit is not necessarily bad, and a trade surplus is not necessarily good.”

In Mexico’s case, a large and growing trade surplus with the United States is arguably not desirable at a time when the Mexican government is seeking to reach a trade deal with the Trump administration, which in July announced that it had decided against renewing the USMCA free trade pact in its current form. U.S. President Donald Trump frequently rails against the United States’ deficits with Mexico and other countries, saying last month, “We lose with Mexico $195 billion a year.”

Trump says Mexico is only good for ‘tamales and tomatoes.’ Trade data says otherwise

He has even said that Mexico and Canada should become U.S. states given that the United States runs large deficits with the two countries.

Mexico’s exports to US surge 18% between January and August 

Mexico shipped goods worth a record high $419.34 billion to the U.S. in the first eight months of 2026, an increase of 18.3% compared to the same period of last year. Mexico’s exports to the U.S. in August were worth $60.63 billion, a record for any month and a 34.2% year-over-year increase.

Mexico remained the largest exporter to the United States in the first eight months of 2026, taking a 17.4% share of the U.S. $2.41 trillion import market in the period.

Mexico’s share of the market increased 2.1 percentage points compared to the first eight months of 2025. Most Mexican exports enter the United States tariff-free as the USMCA remains in effect, despite the U.S. government’s decision not to renew the trilateral pact for an additional 16 years. However, some important Mexican exports — including vehicles, steel and aluminum — do face tariffs when entering the U.S.

Mexico’s export revenue and share of the U.S. import market has increased as Mexican exporters ship much larger quantities of tech products, including AI servers, to the United States to support that country’s data center boom. Such products typically have low levels of Mexican value added as much of their content is imported, especially from Asia.

Still, the increase in Mexican — if not wholly “Made in Mexico” — exports to the U.S. has allowed Mexico to further consolidate its position as the top exporter to the world’s largest economy.

Canada’s share of the U.S. import market remained broadly steady at around 11.2% in the first eight months of 2026, while China’s share fell to 7.6% from 9.5% between January and August 2025. Canada and China are the second and third largest exporters to the United States.

Mexico’s imports from US increase 16.6% in first 8 months of 2026 

Mexico imported U.S. goods worth $263.47 billion in the first eight months of 2026, an increase of 16.6% compared to the same period of last year. In August, Mexico imported U.S. goods worth $33.65 billion, a 15.3% increase compared to the same month of 2025.

Mexico was the world’s largest importer of U.S. goods in the January-August period, receiving 16% of all U.S. exports (based on their value).

Canada was the second largest importer of U.S. goods in the first eight months of the year, receiving 14.4% of all U.S. exports (by value).

Mexico-US trade accounts for around 1/6 of total US trade 

Two-way trade between Mexico and the United States totaled $681.82 billion in the first eight months of 2026, accounting for 16.8% of total U.S. trade with all countries around the world. Mexico was easily the United States’ largest trade partner in the period.

The United States’ second largest trade partner between January and August was Canada, with trade between the North American neighbors worth $505.61 billion. That amount is equivalent to 12.5% of all U.S. trade in the period, which totaled $4.05 trillion.

The United States spent $2.41 trillion on imports between January and August, while U.S. exports were worth $1.64 trillion. Consequently, the U.S. recorded a trade deficit of $773.93 billion.

Mexico recorded a trade surplus of $9.86 billion between January and August, according to data published by the national statistics agency INEGI last week.

With reports from El Economista and El Financiero

El Jalapeño: Bomb squad heroically ‘defuses’ suspicious churros found on Mexico City Metro

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Elite bomb squad personnel successfully and heroically disposed of a box of churros left suspiciously on Mexico City's Metro. (This image was generated using AI tools)

All stories in El Jalapeño are satire and not real news. Check out the original article here.

MEXICO CITY — Emergency protocol gave way to quick-thinking heroism on Metro Line 7 Friday afternoon after elite bomb disposal units successfully neutralized a highly volatile cardboard box containing dozens of freshly fried, cinnamon-sugar-dusted churros.

The high-stakes incident began when an alert commuter flagged an unattended package sitting isolated on a southbound train traveling from El Rosario toward Barranca del Muerto. Within minutes, officers from Mexico City’s Policía Bancaria e Industrial (PBI) established a safety perimeter at the Mixcoac station, donning heavy protective gear to approach what tactical analysts classified as an imminent threat to local waistlines.

A mysterious box left unattended on a Metro car can’t be ignored by security personnel, even if it eventually turns out to contain nothing more harmful than churros. (@metrocdmx/X)

“Initial field assessments indicated a dangerous combination of crispy exteriors, soft doughy interiors, and a dusting of sugar that presented a clear and present hazard,” said lead bomb technician Commander Arturo Gómez, wiping a trace of cajeta filling from his chin during a press briefing. “Standard procedure dictates controlled detonation, but given the golden-brown quality of the target, our team made the tactical decision to neutralize the threat orally, piece by piece.”

Witnesses reported that the multi-stage defusal operation took approximately six minutes, with officers systematically consuming the pastries alongside small tactical cups of warm champurrado supplied by a nearby platform vendor. According to official police logs, all units involved displayed exemplary discipline, ensuring that not a single drop of chocolate sauce was left on the train car floor.

Metro authorities praised the rapid response, citing it as a testament to the department’s unwavering commitment to public safety and street-food preservation. Officials confirmed that while the owner of the box was not located, the vendor’s lost inventory had been thoroughly and safely processed and deemed entirely non-lethal, albeit slightly heavy on the digestion.

“In operations of this nature, every second counts before the dough loses its crunch,” Gómez added, adjusting his tactical vest. “We urge the public to remain vigilant, report any suspicious, freshly baked goods immediately, and allow trained professionals to handle the situation before the churros go cold.”

Check out our Jalapeño archive here.

Got an idea for a Jalapeño article? Email us with your suggestions!

Environment minister: ‘The conditions for proceeding with fracking do not exist’

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Bárcena at podium
“Currently, the conditions for proceeding with hydraulic fracturing operations do not exist, nor is there any authorization from the president,” Bárcena clarified on Tuesday. (Graciela López/Cuartoscuro) 

Head of the Environment and Natural Resources Ministry (Semarnat) Alicia Bárcena said during an appearance before the Chamber of Deputies on Tuesday that Mexico does not currently have the conditions for fracking, contradicting reports by local media claiming that President Claudia Sheinbaum had authorized pilot tests. 

“It is not that fracking pilot tests have been authorized; what has been authorized is testing to verify the availability of deep, saline water, so that the subject can even be discussed,” Bárcena clarified. “Currently, the conditions for proceeding with hydraulic fracturing operations do not exist, nor is there any authorization from the president,” she stated. 

image of hydraulic fracturing unit with blue sky
As things stand, Mexico only produces a small amount of oil and gas through fracking, a practice that was largely paused by the government of former president Andrés Manuel López Obrador. (Shutterstock)

Bárcena also said that the country cannot yet move forward with this development due to restrictions regarding water availability, ecosystem protection and the regulation of this natural gas extraction technique.

Fracking is a hydrocarbon extraction method that involves drilling deep into the earth and injecting water, sand and chemicals under pressure to fracture the rock and release gas or oil.  

According to Bárcena, a group of scientists gathered by the federal government has revealed that fracking could only be carried out in one place: the Sabinas-Burro-Picachos basin, located between the northern states of Coahuila, Nuevo León and Tamaulipas.

Bárcena added that the scientists, in collaboration with Semarnat and the Mexican Agency for Safety, Energy and Environment (ASEA), issued a series of recommendations that should be followed before considering fracking: water intended for human consumption or agricultural use should not be used in operations: seismic activity should be continuously monitored; highly toxic or harmful chemicals should be avoided; and the protection of aquifers, drinking water and ecosystems must be guaranteed.

Sheinbaum rules out fracking for Mexico’s top shale basin, opens door elsewhere: Thursday’s mañanera recapped

Bárcena further indicated that the government should update regulations applicable to the ASEA, establish guidelines for unconventional wells and develop a standard for treating saltwater.  

“So, there is a series of restrictions under which fracking cannot be carried out at this time,” Bárcena concluded.  

Water availability remains one of the major obstacles to fracking in the country. 

According to Mexican nonprofit CartoCrítica, 100% of the freshwater required for potential development in Sabinas-Burro-Picachos would come from basins or aquifers that currently lack available water resources, raising questions about whether extraction could meet the environmental conditions established by the government.

With reports from La Jornada, Infobae and Proceso

Future presidents and governors of Mexico now barred from holding 2 passports: Wednesday’s mañanera recapped

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President Sheinbaum held up the dual nationality decree after signing it, alongside her legal counsel, Luisa María Alcalde.
President Sheinbaum held up the dual nationality decree after signing it, alongside her legal counsel, Luisa María Alcalde. (Gabriel Monroy/Presidencia)

Sheinbaum’s mañanera in 60 seconds

  • 🇲🇽 Sheinbaum signs decree barring future presidents and governors from holding dual nationality: The decree formalizes a constitutional reform requiring exclusive Mexican nationality for presidential, gubernatorial and Mexico City mayoral aspirants. The ban on dual nationals takes effect from 2028, after gubernatorial elections in 17 states next June.
  • ⚡ Government targets 60% public share of electricity generation: Energy Minister Luz Elena González said the CFE’s share fell as low as 40% earlier this century, whereas current legislation guarantees it at least 54%. She said that government investments will allow the public share to reach at least 60% by the end of Sheinbaum’s term.
  • 💰 Over 1 trillion pesos to be invested in electricity projects through 2030: The figure (US $55.5 billion) covers 2025 to 2030 and includes 794 billion pesos for generation projects. González said renewables’ share of generation will rise from 24% currently to 38% in 2030.
  • ✈️ Sheinbaum suggests mechanical fault caused Nayarit plane crash: Asked about Sunday’s crash of a light plane that Governor Miguel Ángel Navarro used to fly on, the president suggested a “defect” in the aircraft was to blame. The pilot and co-pilot were killed in the crash. Sheinbaum said the federal government has no information about a “threat” against Navarro, though the Nayarit Attorney General’s Office is investigating whether the crash was linked to a possible attempt on his life.

Why today’s mañanera matters

President Claudia Sheinbaum signed a decree on Wednesday morning that will ensure that candidates contesting future presidential elections in Mexico have only Mexican nationality. The decree — which formalizes a recently approved constitutional reform — will also guarantee that dual nationals can’t be gubernatorial candidates in elections that take place after 2027.

The reform has been criticized by some opposition politicians, including Citizens Movement (MC) party Senator Luis Donaldo Colosio Riojas, who said it “creates two categories of Mexicans in the constitution.” 

In defense of the reform, Sheinbaum declared last week that “presidents of Mexico can only have one flag, one homeland, one people to defend.”

Also of note at today’s mañanera was Energy Minister Luz Elena Gonzaléz’s presentation on the government’s target for the public share of electricity generation in Mexico.

Sheinbaum signs decree barring future presidents and governors from holding dual nationality 

At the start of her press conference, Sheinbaum announced that she would sign a decree formalizing a constitutional reform that establishes a requirement of exclusive Mexican nationality for those aspiring to the presidency, a state governorship or the mayorship of Mexico City.

She noted that the reform was approved by both houses of federal Congress and a majority of Mexico’s 32 state legislatures.

Reform barring future presidents, governors from holding dual nationality passes Senate

Sheinbaum also noted that the reform will bar presidential and gubernatorial aspirants from holding double nationality from 2028 — i.e., after gubernatorial elections are held in 17 states next June.

The president held up the decree after signing it, eliciting applause from people present in the National Palace.

Government targets 60% public share of electricity generation

González told reporters that the public share of electricity generation — i.e., power generated by the Federal Electricity Commission (CFE) — fell as low as 40% earlier this century due to what she called “a mistaken and irresponsible neoliberal vision.”

However, legislation approved early in Sheinbaum’s term establishes that at least 54% of all electricity supplied to the national grid must be provided by the CFE.

González said that “thanks to the investments we’re making” in electricity infrastructure, “we’re going to finish President Sheinbaum’s administration not just guaranteeing the [CFE’s] 54% [share].”

“Rather, we’re proposing that these investments will allow at least 60% of generation to be in public hands,” she said.

González at podium
According to González, more than half of the 794 billion pesos going toward generation will be public-private projects. (Gabriel Monroy/Presidencia)

González presented data that showed that more than 1 trillion pesos (US $55.5 billion) will be invested in electricity projects between 2025 and 2030. That figure includes 794 billion pesos for generation projects.

According to the data González presented, the CFE will invest 142.46 billion pesos in generation projects while the private sector will invest 199.1 billion pesos. The remaining 452.5 billion pesos will be invested in public-private electricity generation projects.

González highlighted that the government is investing in renewable energy, including in solar and wind projects. She said that electricity generation using renewable sources will increase from 24% currently to 38% in 2030.

Sheinbaum suggests mechanical fault caused Nayarit plane crash

A reporter asked the president about the crash in Nayarit on Sunday of a light plane that Nayarit Governor Miguel Ángel Navarro Quintero used to travel on.

The pilot and co-pilot were killed in the accident. The Nayarit Attorney General’s Office launched an investigation into whether the crash was linked to a possible attempt on the governor’s life.

Sheinbaum said that her government had no information regarding a possible “threat” against Navarro, a Morena party governor.

Asked about the cause of the crash, the president suggested that a “defect” in the plane was to blame. She said that the federal Security Cabinet didn’t have any information that links the crash to “a situation against the governor.”

By Mexico News Daily chief staff writer Peter Davies (peter.davies@mexiconewsdaily.com)

The MND Sheinbaum Index™ for August 2026: Security, employment weigh on president’s performance

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The latest edition of the Sheinbaum Index™ scores the president at 67.9/100 based on data from August
The latest edition of the Sheinbaum Index™ scores the president at 67.9/100 based on data from August. (Mexico News Daily)

THE MND SHEINBAUM INDEX™

Measuring Mexico’s president beyond the polls

MND Intelligence · Sixth edition

Welcome to the sixth edition of the MND Sheinbaum Index™, an eight-pillar index designed to give our readers balanced, data-driven insight into the current situation in Mexico across a range of areas under the leadership of President Claudia Sheinbaum.

In this edition of the index — which mainly uses data from the month of August — the headline number is 67.9, representing a decline of 1.4 points compared to the previous score. Despite the decline, this is the second-highest MND Sheinbaum Index™ to date. A detailed summary of the latest results appears below.

(Mexico News Daily)

The publication of this MND Sheinbaum Index™ score comes six days after Sheinbaum celebrated the second anniversary of being sworn in as president. She now has four years remaining in her six-year term.

Before we look in detail at the latest results and consider the index trend in recent months, here is a short guide to the significance of an MND Sheinbaum Index™ score:

  • 85–100: Exceptional — administration performing at a high level across nearly all indicators.
  • 75–84: Excellent — administration performing well across most indicators.
  • 60–75: Quite good, but room for improvement — meaningful strengths, some areas of concern.
  • 50–60: Mixed — passing marks overall.
  • Below 50: Broad underperformance — more indicators below benchmark than above.

MND Sheinbaum Index™ pillars for August 2026

Each pillar is given a stoplight color indicating a strong performance (green: a score above 9.4 out of 12.5), an average performance (yellow: 6.2-9.4) or a poor performance (red: below 6.2).

An upward-pointing arrow ⬆️ indicates that the pillar score improved compared to July. A downward-pointing arrow ⬇️ indicates a deterioration in the pillar score. A pause icon ⏸️ means there was no change in the pillar score compared to the previous month.

(Mexico News Daily)

As you’ll see below, scores for four of the eight pillars declined in August compared to July. The score for just one pillar improved, while the scores for three pillars were unchanged.

🟢 ⬇️ INFLATION (11.85 out of 12.5)

In August, the inflation pillar was the top contributor to the overall index score for a fourth consecutive month, even though the score declined compared to July.

Mexico’s annual headline inflation rate rose to 3.26% in August, up from 3.12% in July but still quite close to the Bank of Mexico’s 3% target.

The inflation pillar score consequently declined to 11.85 in August from 12.2 in July.

🟢 ⏸️ LABOR POVERTY (10.25 out of 12.5)

There is no change to the labor poverty pillar score in this edition of the MND Sheinbaum Index™ as the most recent data remains that published by the national statistics agency INEGI on Aug. 26.

Based on that data, the labor poverty pillar score is 10.25.

The labor poverty rate was 31.9% in the second quarter of 2026, an annual decline of 3.2 percentage points.

In the second quarter of 2026, real incomes rose 8% annually.

For a fourth consecutive month, this pillar was the second biggest contributor to the overall index score.

🟡 ⬇️ SECURITY (9.37 out of 12.5)

The pace of homicide reduction declined in August for the first time since April. The year-over-year decline in homicides was 32.1% in August, per data presented at Sheinbaum’s Sept. 8 press conference, down from a 34.8% reduction in July.

The security pillar score consequently declined to 9.37 from 9.84 in July.

A perfect score requires a 50% year-over-year decline in homicides.

🟡 ⬇️ ECONOMIC GROWTH (8.75 out of 12.5)

Year-over-year economic growth in August was 2.5%, according to preliminary data from INEGI — a slight decline from July’s 2.7% reading.

(Annual economic growth in July was subsequently upgraded to 3.3% in revised final data.)

The economic growth pillar score declined to 8.75 in August from 9.25 in July.

🟡 ⏸️ APPROVAL RATING (8.56 out of 12.5) 

Sheinbaum’s average approval rating was 68.5% in August, unchanged from July. Thus, the approval rating pillar score remained at 8.56.

Per El Financiero’s August poll, Sheinbaum’s approval rating was 68%, an increase of one point compared to July.

As there was no new QM Estudios de Opinión/Heraldo Media Group survey in August, we used the approval rating detected by the Enkoll/El País/W Radio poll. The president has a 69% approval rating, according to that poll, which was conducted between Aug. 25 and 29.

🟡 ⬆️ TOURISM (7.16 out of 12.5 — This pillar has a one-month lag)

International arrivals increased 2.9% year-over-year in July, the data period used for this index, up from 2.1% growth in June.

Thus, the tourism pillar score rose to 7.16 from 6.91 a month earlier.

🟡 ⬇️ EMPLOYMENT (6.63 out of 12.5)

Mexico’s unemployment rate was 3% in August, on par with the 3% neutral benchmark, but up 0.1 percentage points from July.

The informality rate rose 0.2 percentage points year-over-year in August, up from an increase of 0.1 percentage points in July. Mexico’s informality rate in August, at 55%, remained very high.

The slight increase in the unemployment rate and the larger year-over-year change in the informality rate meant that the scores for both components of this pillar declined in August.

The overall score of 6.63 is 0.37 percentage points below the score for July.

🔴 ⏸️ BUSINESS CONFIDENCE (5.33 out of 12.5)

Mexico’s business confidence score, as measured by a monthly INEGI survey, was 48.2 in August, unchanged from July. That score is below the neutral benchmark of 50. In late 2024, when Sheinbaum was at the start of her six-year term, the business confidence score was around 52.

In August, the score for the foreign direct investment component of the pillar remained steady as the most recent data was once again that published by the Economy Ministry on Aug. 24.

According to that data, FDI in Mexico in the first six months of 2026 increased 2.1% annually, a much slower pace of growth compared with the 10.4% year-over-year gain in the first quarter of the year.

With no changes to the scores for the two components of the business confidence pillar, the overall score remained unchanged at 5.33.

The MND Sheinbaum Index™ trend 

In the graph below, you can see how the MND Sheinbaum Index™ score has changed over time.

(Mexico News Daily)

We have now calculated a total of 11 index scores in the period between September 2024 (the final month of Andrés Manuel López Obrador’s presidency) and August 2026. The difference between the lowest score (54.5 in March 2025 — predating the publication of the first MND Sheinbaum Index™ article) and the highest (69.3 in July 2026) is 14.8 points.

The month-over-month decline in the score in August is the first since April after increases in each of May, June and July.

What to watch

The next MND Sheinbaum Index™ will focus on the month of September.

Here are three things to look out for in the September Index:

  • Inflation: Data for the first half of September indicates that the score for the inflation pillar will decline again in the next edition of the index. INEGI reported on Sept. 24 that the annual headline rate was 3.42% in the first 15 days of September, up from 3.26% in August.
  • Business Confidence: The score for this pillar will increase in the next edition of the MND Sheinbaum Index™ as Mexico’s business confidence score rose in September compared to August. A trade deal between Mexico and the United States — officials are said to be aiming to reach one before the U.S. midterms in early November — could lead to an additional increase in business confidence later in 2026.
  • Economic growth: Sheinbaum predicted that economic growth would pick up in the second half of 2026 and so far she has been correct. Will data show that the momentum continued in September?

Mexico News Daily

* MND acknowledges that President Sheinbaum does not directly control outcomes in all eight pillars. For example, global commodity prices and tariff decisions in Washington can affect Mexico’s inflation and growth rates. The Index measures what is happening in Mexico on Sheinbaum’s watch.

Life on pause: The children left in limbo after their parents’ deportation to Mexico

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A mother and her two children sitting on a bench beneath a Mexican flag, waiting for documentation from Soy México
Claudia Duran, center, with her children Havanna Pate Duran and Milan Pate Duran, at the Soy México office in Jalisco. The family, from Sacramento, was applying for Mexican nationality documentation necessary for the kids to go to school. (Tracy L. Barnett)

“One thing about me, I loved school.”

Lina remembers herself before her mother’s deportation as the girl who talked to everyone. She played basketball and piano, studied French, painted — and loved school.

Staff at work inside the Soy México office in Jalisco
Staff at work inside the Soy México office in Jalisco, where applicants’ documents are reviewed and registration cases are processed. (Tracy L. Barnett)

Today, at 17, Lina is a U.S. citizen living in Jalisco. She has not been in a classroom for five years.

“I don’t work. I don’t go to school. I don’t talk to anybody,” she said. “I’m just alone in my thoughts all day.”

The documentation gap

Lina is one of an untold number of U.S.-citizen children living in Mexico because of a parent’s deportation. Like many, she has been caught in a documentation gap that can make it difficult to build a life here — even though she is Mexican by birthright.

Under Mexican law, children born abroad to a Mexican mother or father have Mexican nationality. Proving it on paper is another matter.

For Lina and other U.S.-born children of Mexican parents, the national Soy México program can temporarily make that process easier. During a brief annual window, it allows eligible applicants to obtain Mexican documents without some of the costly, time-consuming requirements of the regular process.

For families able to use it, Soy México can eliminate months of cross-border bureaucracy and significant expense. Although Soy México is a national strategy, its practical reach is a patchwork: Dates, eligibility and costs can differ from state to state and even, in Baja California, from one municipality to another. In Jalisco, where Lina lives, Soy México opened this year on Aug. 22 and is expected to continue through late October. It could close earlier if federal funding runs out.

For Lina, it could mean something more fundamental.

“I have a higher possibility of going to school,” she said.

A family scattered

The chain of events that brought Lina here began five years ago when she was 12.

One night in Florida, she heard her older brother crying through the wall and learned that her mother, Hanna, had been arrested and would likely be deported.

“I told my mom, and I cried to her,” she remembered. “I was like, just come home, just come home.”

That night, Lina said, she experienced her first panic attack. The next morning she went to school but couldn’t concentrate and spent much of the day crying with a counselor.

Outside the Soy México office, a bulletin board provides applicants with program information
Outside the Soy México office, a bulletin board provides applicants with program requirements and information on obtaining U.S. birth records — paperwork that can determine whether a family is able to complete the registration process. (Tracy L. Barnett)

While her mother was detained and eventually deported, Lina and her brothers’ home life unraveled. They moved among relatives and were eventually separated from one another.

‘I don’t know anybody here’

Hanna’s own arrival in Mexico offered little stability. Born in Mexico but raised in the United States from about age 2, she arrived in Matamoros with US $100 and headed for Guadalajara, where her father lived. But he did not answer her calls, and when she finally found him, he offered little of the support she had expected.

“I have nowhere to go,” she remembers telling him after finally finding him. “I don’t know anybody here. I don’t know anything here.”

“In my plans, I never thought of coming and living in Mexico.”

Eventually, Hanna feared her children could be placed in state custody. She arranged for a friend to bring them to Mexico.

Lina arrived already behind academically. She had been withdrawn from school in Florida after completing the first semester of seventh grade. She expected to start again in Mexico.

“I was like, I want to go back to school,” she recalled.

She was prepared to repeat seventh grade if necessary. But Hanna was unable to enroll Lina because Lina did not have a CURP and had no Mexican documentation.

“I had so much hope every time,” Lina said. “‘I get to go back to school, I get to go back to school.’ But there was just no hope of that.”

In school, but not on paper

Lina’s younger brothers encountered the same documentation problem, although their elementary school allowed them to attend class but would not receive credit.

“They received them as listeners only,” Hanna said. “They weren’t getting school credit because they didn’t have their papers.”

Tran Dang, executive director of The Rhizome Center for Migrants — which has assisted the family with the children’s identity documentation and the process for the mother to return to the United States — explained that U.S.-born children of Mexican parents can face nearly insurmountable barriers to establishing their identity in Mexico.

In Mexico City’s ‘Little LA,’ deportees find work and a community

To register in Mexico, the children must present a long-form birth certificate that has been translated, certified and authenticated — requirements that impose a heavy bureaucratic and financial burden on families now living in Mexico. Even minor discrepancies between the names used in U.S. and Mexican documents can stall the process, leaving these children without legal status in Mexico, without identification documents, and unable to enroll in school.

In Lina’s case, the Rhizome Center helped her obtain a U.S. passport, her first government-issued photo ID, making it easier to return to the United States, if necessary. But obtaining and apostilling another Florida birth certificate for Lina would have taken roughly eight months, Dang said. Rather than wait that long, the family decided to wait for Soy México.

José Israel López, coordinator of the Soy México program, said problems involving school are among the most common reasons families come to the program.

“It’s almost the primary issue,” he said: Families arrive because children need to enroll or continue their studies.

A shortcut — but not for everyone

Soy México has operated since 2017. When a U.S. birth record from a participating state can be electronically verified, applicants can bypass the apostille and translation requirements.

Eligible applicants can receive their Mexican birth certificate and CURP the same day. But the program is not a universal solution.

It does not operate year-round, not every record can be verified, and not every U.S. state participates. Texas, notably, does not.

So far this year, 16 children have lacked the documentation or other requirements necessary to complete their Mexican registration, even through the Soy México program. Some of those cases require legal assistance in the United States to resolve problems with U.S.-issued documents — the kind of cross-border assistance the Rhizome Center often provides.

López said demand has been rising, a trend he linked partly to events in the United States. In the program’s first month, about 400 applications were received across Jalisco, according to Civil Registry officials.

With continued deportations bringing more mixed-status families to Mexico, Dang believes more U.S.-citizen children are likely to confront the same problem. At the same time, some U.S. children brought here years ago remain undocumented, never having obtained identification in Mexico. They may not know that organizations like the Rhizome Center exist to support returned and deported families in overcoming the legal barriers they experience to continue their lives.

“It’s in the best interest of the United States and Mexico that these kids do not forgo their future and can enroll in school immediately,” said Dang, Rhizome Center executive director.

Years that documents cannot return

While friends and cousins in the U.S. move toward college, Lina is still trying to get back into a classroom — one of the children Dang describes as “invisible to both countries.”

Soy Mexico poster
A Soy México poster tells U.S.-born children of Mexican parents that they have the right to Mexican nationality and encourages families to register their births and obtain a Mexican birth certificate and CURP. (Tracy L. Barnett)

Lina had once imagined doing an accelerated high school program. If she had, she believes, she would now be nearing graduation, or might already have finished.

“I’m not going to lie, I’ve always been embarrassed to go back to school at my age,” she said. “If I had had it my way, I would have graduated already.”

Her brothers have since returned to the U.S. while Lina remains in Mexico with her mother. In a letter she wrote about her mother’s deportation, Lina found the words for it:

“My mother’s deportation did not only affect her. It changed the course of my life. At times I feel as though my life has been placed on pause while everyone else moves forward.”

Dang argues that this is what can disappear inside a bureaucratic process.

“Oftentimes when you’re dealing with these bureaucracies, government offices are just focused on requirements,” she said. “They’re not thinking about lives. Depriving a child of their education and their future has societal and generational implications.”

Lina, however, has not stopped imagining hers.

“I do want to have a career,” she said. “I want to be somebody big. Not somebody big to other people, but I want to be someone big to myself.”

“I want to really make it out.”

Service box: How Soy México works

What is it?

Soy México allows eligible people born in the United States to a Mexican parent to register their birth in Mexico through a simplified process when their U.S. record can be electronically verified. For a limited time, the program can eliminate requirements such as an apostille and translation, but dates, eligibility and costs vary by state.

What does the applicant receive?

A Mexican birth certificate and CURP, which school-age children can use to enroll in school.

When does it operate?

Soy México is administered through state civil registries, and operating periods vary. Several 2026 campaigns have been concentrated in late summer and fall. In Jalisco, the program opened Aug. 22 and is expected to continue through late October, although it could close earlier if federal funding is exhausted. So far this year, some 400 applications have been submitted in Jalisco through the program.

Soy Mexico photo area with Mexico and U.S. flags
At the Soy México office, this photo area is used for portraits once applicants successfully complete the process to document their Mexican nationality. (Tracy L. Barnett)

Does everyone who applies qualify?

No. Applicants still must meet the program’s requirements and their U.S. birth record must be verifiable through the participating system. In Jalisco, 16 children so far this year have had cases that could not be completed through Soy México.

What if the family misses the window?

Registration is still possible through the regular Civil Registry process. Requirements vary by state, but the conventional route may require additional steps such as obtaining an apostille and Spanish translation.

What if the U.S. birth certificate contains an ‘error’?

Mexico typically requires that all legal names remain strictly identical across all official documents. A misspelling of a parent’s name, or a missing maternal last name on a child’s U.S. birth certificate might mean the child must correct the U.S. record before the Civil Registry will register the child’s birth in Mexico.

How long does Soy México take?

Processing times vary. In Jalisco, López said applicants can arrange an appointment by telephone; once the appointment is made and the case is ready to process, documents can be delivered that day.

What documents should applicants bring?

Requirements vary by state. Applicants generally need the U.S. birth certificate, proof of the Mexican parent’s birth/nationality and identification. Families should check with their state civil registry before applying.

In Jalisco, applicants are asked to bring:

  • Completed application (form provided and/or prepared by the program).
  • Photocopy of official identification of the person to be registered (if an adult) or of both parents (if the person to be registered is a minor).
  • Original U.S. birth certificate and/or apostilled birth certificate of the applicant.
  • Original birth certificate(s) of the Mexican parent(s) in SIDEA format; if a parent is of another nationality, a photocopy of their birth certificate is required.

Where can Jalisco residents apply?

Civil Registry of Jalisco, Prolongación Alcalde 1855, +52 33 3819 2456 ext. 47394, 47364, 47320.

Which U.S. states do not participate?

Connecticut, Guam, Idaho, Kentucky, Maryland, New Hampshire, Nebraska, Puerto Rico, Rhode Island, Texas, American Samoa and the Northern Mariana Islands.

Tracy L. Barnett is a Guadalajara-based freelance writer and the founder of The Esperanza Project.

Iván Cazarín, regional CJNG boss known as ‘El Tanque,’ is captured in Zapopan

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captured El Tanque
Captured CJNG regional boss Iván Cazarín Molina ("El Tanque") gets his photo op with law enforcement officials just three days after another suspected fuel-theft ring operator, Miguel Ángel Solano Ruiz ("Capitán Sol"), was apprehended in the same city of Zapopan, Jalisco. (@OHarfuch/X)

Iván Cazarín Molina — the alleged regional leader of the Jalisco New Generation Cartel (CJNG) — was captured on Monday by federal authorities, Security Minister (SSPC) Omar García Harfuch confirmed in a social media post.

The detention was the result of a joint operation carried out by Army special forces and the SSPC’s Operations Group, with information from the National Intelligence Center. The National Guard also collaborated, Harfuch said, as did Criminal Investigation Agency investigators from the Federal Attorney General’s Office (FGR), who identified his movements and located him.

Cazarín, aka “El Tanque” (“The Tank”), was apprehended in Zapopan, Jalisco, part of the greater Guadalajara metropolitan area and the same city in which the authorities captured alleged fuel smuggler Miguel Ángel Solano Ruiz, aka “Capitán Sol,” just three days earlier.

Prosecutors say Cazarín — whose area of ​​operation covered Veracruz, Oaxaca, Tabasco and Puebla — ran a massive fuel theft network and say they have sufficient evidence to charge him with homicide, kidnapping, money laundering and drug trafficking, as well.

Harfuch identified “El Tanque” as a target related to various criminal activities — including 6.8 tons of marijuana seized in Veracruz in July 2024 and the August 2026 kidnapping for ransom of an employee of the state-owned utility company.

El Tanque was also allegedly involved in the rocket-propelled grenade attack on an Army helicopter in Jalisco in 2015, in which nine law enforcement officers lost their lives.

Six months later, federal authorities announced the capture of Cazarín, identifying him as one of the main operators of the CJNG. However, he was only charged with possession of illegal weapons.

The Latinus website says El Tanque was in prison at least through May 2016 when he was transferred from the Altiplano Maximum Security Prison in México state to Puente Grande in Jalisco, but reported that “it is unknown when he was released.”

By 2021, El Tanque was in Tabasco, where he had allegedly established links with “La Barredora,” a crime gang linked to then state Security Minister Hernán Bermúdez Requena.

In September 2024, the U.S. Office of Foreign Assets Control (OFAC) identified him as the leader of a fuel-smuggling network and tax evasion scheme in which at least eight other people and 26 companies were involved.

The OFAC said the fuel theft operation generated tens of millions of dollars annually for the CJNG.

With reports from La Jornada, El País, CBS News and Proceso

Nuevo León Gov. García announces US $600M in data center infrastructure investment

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García alongside executives of Apollo Global Management
Nuevo León Governor Samuel García (second from left) met with executives of Apollo Global Management during his current working visit to New York. (Samuel García/Facebook)

Nuevo León Governor Samuel García said he has secured US $600 million in investment to develop industrial facilities, primarily data centers, in his state.

The governor made the announcement during his most recent working tour of New York, which concluded Friday. The source of the investment was not given, but it is known that it will go to projects in the cities of Apodaca and Pesquería, expanding on the ongoing investment boom in the border state that has led to the recent inauguration of several tech, data processing and manufacturing facilities. 

The new capital brings total foreign investment in Nuevo León in 2026 to $136.6 billion, according to the governor. “I have no doubt that by December we’ll reach $140 billion,” he said.

García said that Nuevo León is attractive to investors thanks to its strong infrastructure, energy and water availability, the industrial parks in Apodaca and the tax-free Colombia Customs Office.

“Also coming… are the Volvo industrial facility in Ciénega, the Bobcat industrial facility… the Unilever facility in Salinas Victoria, and we just inaugurated the LEGO facility,” García said. “The most important thing is that multinational companies are building their largest facilities, their biggest factories in the world, in Nuevo León.” 

The restrictions of a stressed power grid

Though Gov. García insists that his state’s energy supply attracts investment, power grid limitations are a growing problem across the nation. Querétaro state is a case in point.

Investors have announced several multimillion-dollar data center projects in the Bajío state in recent years, drawn by its proximity to the United States, with tech majors such as Amazon, Cloud HQ, Equinix, Microsoft and Ascenty opening facilities.

But the growth of the data center industry has revealed major bottlenecks in Querétaro’s transmission infrastructure. 

In Querétaro, the aging electrical grid has proven insufficient for industrial development, and neighboring towns often experience power outages despite the inauguration of a natural gas-fired power plant in December 2025. 

Meanwhile, research from the Mexican Institute for Competitiveness (IMCO) suggests that the grid limitations must be addressed to support the expansion of the data center industry. 

With reports from México Industry and El Economista

Mexico’s fixed capital investment grew 6% in July, the fastest pace in 2 years

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workers on a construction project
In the first seven months of 2026, investment in construction projects increased 4.1% annually. (Moisés Pablo/Cuartoscuro)

Fixed capital investment in Mexico — money spent by the private and public sectors on long-term assets such as houses, factories and machinery — increased 6% annually in July, the strongest growth of any month in two years.

The national statistics agency INEGI reported the seasonally adjusted growth rate on Monday in its monthly report on gross fixed capital formation, a measure of fixed capital investment (FCI).

It is the product of a 5.9% year-over-year increase in private sector FCI and a 6.9% increase in public sector FCI.

Annual private sector FCI growth increased 2 percentage points from June to reach its highest level in 30 months, a sign that businesses’ confidence in their long-term economic prospects is improving.

However, public sector FCI growth slowed markedly from June, a month in which the annual expansion was 17.3%.

The overall FCI growth rate was up slightly from a 5.9% annual expansion in June. The month-over-month increase in FCI was 1.4%.

In an X post, Gabriela Siller, director of economic analysis at Banco Base, wrote that despite the growth in July, FCI was still 2.35% lower than the all-time high reached in July 2024.

In a separate post, she wrote that the FCI growth in July is “good news for Mexico,” but added that the data “is still insufficient to speak of a sustained recovery of investment flows and confidence to invest.”

In the first seven months of July, annual FCI growth was a more modest 1.7%. Siller is predicting 2% year-over-year growth in FCI in 2026.

Mexico recorded annual economic growth of 1.9% in the second quarter of 2026 and 3.3% in July. The economy grew just 0.4% annually in Q1.

Spending on construction projects drives FCI growth in July  

INEGI data shows that investment in construction projects increased 6.9% annually in July. Investment in residential projects grew 9.2% compared to a year earlier, while spending on non-residential projects such as factories and industrial parks increased 4%.

Investment in machinery and equipment grew 4.9% annually. Spending on imported machinery and equipment increased 9.9% compared to a year earlier, while spending on “Made in Mexico” machinery and equipment declined 3.1%.

In the first seven months of 2026, investment in construction projects increased 4.1% annually. Investment in machinery and equipment fell 1% in the same period.

Eduardo Valle, an economist at Coppel, said that the increase in investment in machinery and equipment in July is a “good sign” as it “signifies that companies are modernizing or expanding their productive capacity.”

However, the annual decline in spending on Mexican machinery and equipment is concerning, especially given that it occurred at a time when the federal government is aiming to strengthen Mexican industry with its Plan México economic initiative. Spending on “Made in Mexico” machinery and equipment declined 8% annually between January and July, while investment in imported machinery and equipment increased 3.5%.

With reports from El Financiero

Activists condemn felling of ancient trees for border wall

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grandmother tree in Lochiel, Arizona
The more than 200-year-old “grandmother” tree was the last of four old cottonwoods removed at the construction site in Arizona. (Kathleen Dreier/Facebook)

Federal contractors felled a centuries-old cottonwood on the U.S.-Mexico border Monday after U.S. Border Patrol agents removed protesters who had spent about 70 days trying to save it from President Donald Trump’s border wall expansion.

The tree in Lochiel, Arizona, known to activists as the “grandmother” tree, was the last of four old cottonwoods targeted for removal at the site. Conservation groups estimated its age at 200 to 250 years, the newspaper La Jornada reported.

Activists told the media that 10 people were arrested and another 10 were cited and released. They said agents used a cherry picker to forcibly remove one protester from the cottonwood — álamo in Spanish — before contractors brought it down.

Protesters said the camp was on private property, while U.S. Customs and Border Protection (CBP) said the trees stood on federal land. The agency did not answer media questions about whether agents had a warrant to enter the encampment, which they did near sunrise on Monday.

Protesters alleged officers tackled demonstrators, kicked people in handcuffs and pushed others into barbed-wire fences. CBP did not respond to The Washington Post’s questions about those allegations.

The Tohono O’odham Nation, an Arizona-based Indigenous tribe whose members and ancestral lands extend into Sonora, condemned the operation in a statement reported by El Universal. Its territory is a popular route for migrants crossing into the United States.

“This is yet another demonstration of the federal government’s reckless disregard for cultural and natural resources in its hasty pursuit to build this useless wall,” the nation said.

CBP said the four cottonwoods had been identified for removal to make way for the wall. The agency said environmental monitors were present before the work and that preconstruction surveys found no active migratory bird nests.

The protest began in late July after contractors removed three neighboring cottonwoods. Activists rotated through a plywood platform in the remaining tree, receiving supplies by bucket and rope. Their occupation stalled construction immediately around it.

The project includes two parallel steel walls through the San Rafael Valley, across from the state of Sonora in Mexico. Conservationists describe the area as an important wildlife corridor, with the cottonwoods providing food, shelter and habitat for migratory birds near the Santa Cruz River.

Erick Meza, the Sierra Club’s borderlands coordinator, said that contractors also intended to remove another cottonwood straddling the border.

Organizer Kate Scott said resistance would continue, with a rally organized by the Tohono O’odham Nation scheduled for Wednesday.

“We are resolute,” she said. “This movement is not going anywhere. They have cut down our grandmother, but her roots are within us.”

With reports from La Jornada, El Universal, KJZZ, Washington Post and Lookout